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Severance Risk Post-Omnibus Law & Constitutional Court Ruling: Formula and Financial Impact

Executive Summary

Indonesia’s Omnibus Law and Constitutional Court decision (MK 91/2020) changed the severance calculation for permanent employees (PKWTT). These changes affect contingent liability and company valuation for internal assessment and M&A transactions. This page presents the new formula, numeric examples, pre vs post comparison table, and sensitivity analysis.

1. Severance Formula Before & After Omnibus Law

Pre-Omnibus Law:

Severance = Monthly Wage × Years of Service × Previous Factor

Post-Omnibus Law + MK 91/2020:

Severance = Monthly Wage × Years of Service × New Factor + Long Service Award (UPMK)

2. Comparison Table

Years of Service Pre-Omnibus Post-Omnibus
1 year 1 × 1 × 1 = 1 month wage 1 × 1.5 + 0.5 = 2 months wage
3 years 3 × 1 = 3 months wage 3 × 1.5 + 0.5 = 5 months wage
5 years 5 × 1 = 5 months wage 5 × 1.5 + 0.5 = 8 months wage

3. Numeric Example

Assumptions: 50 employees, average monthly wage IDR 8,000,000, 3 years tenure

Pre-Omnibus = 3 × 1 × 8,000,000 = IDR 24,000,000
Post-Omnibus = 3 × 1.5 × 8,000,000 + 0.5 × 8,000,000 = IDR 40,000,000

Total exposure for 50 employees:

Pre-Omnibus = 50 × 24,000,000 = IDR 1,200,000,000
Post-Omnibus = 50 × 40,000,000 = IDR 2,000,000,000

4. Sensitivity Analysis

5. Implications for Valuation

Assuming annual EBITDA = IDR 15,000,000,000:

Impact 50 employees = 2,000,000,000 / 15,000,000,000 ≈ 13.3%

Valuation impact (EBITDA multiple 6x) = 2,000,000,000 × 6 = IDR 12,000,000,000